Valencia welcome Chelsea to the Estadio de Mestalla for their final home match of their Group H Champions League campaign. Valencia have an uphill task if they want to get into the next round, they’re going to need to take at least three points from their two matches, here against Chelsea and away to Ajax in December. It’s a similar story for Chelsea, however they’re up against Lille next who are bottom of the group with just one point. Both teams will be going for the win here, but can we find any value?

Valencia vs Chelsea Betting Tips and Predictions: Valencia

The home side are on a decent run of form of late, they’ve won three, drawn one and lost one in their last five matches and at home, they’ve also won three, drawn one and lost one. Their Champions League form at home isn’t the best, they’ve won three and lost two of their last five.

In the league this season they’ve averaging 1.71 goals per match and conceding 1.0 goals and over their last five at home, they’ve scored nine goals and conceded six. In team news Valencia currently have seven players receiving treatment with all of them facing late fitness tests, it’s too early to tell who will be back, so check team news before kick off.

Valencia vs Chelsea Betting Tips and Predictions: Chelsea

Chelsea came unstuck against Manchester City at the weekend. Some parts of the media have been quite critical of Frank Lampard’s side saying that in their tests against the bigger teams they cannot deliver. But, saying that we have to keep in mind that Chelsea have won seven of their last eight matches on the road, a very impressive record.

Chelsea know this isn’t a do or die fixture should they lose here they can still qualify although it will be out of their hands, taking the three points will put them in the driving seat but a draw will mean that Valencia will have to beat Ajax away from home. That doesn’t mean they won’t go for the win, but it means that if the score is 1-1 at 80 minutes you’d expect them to shut up shop and not leave themselves open to counter attacks.

Chelsea are in good goal scoring form, they’ve averaging 2.71 goals in the league away from home and in the Champions League, overall, that figure is 1.75 goals per match. In team news, Chelsea have no new injuries to report following the loss to Man City.

Valencia vs Chelsea Betting Tips and Predictions: Stats

Over their five most recent matches, Valencia have won three, drawn one and lost one. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 3/5, while BTTS has landed in 4/5.

Over Chelsea’s five most previous matches, they’ve won two, drawn one and lost two. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 4/5, while BTTS has landed in 4/5 as well.

Valencia vs Chelsea Betting Tips and Predictions: Predictions and Tips

The Asian Handicap line opened at 0 and has moved to 0.25, with the market heavily favouring Chelsea. The current price is Valencia +0.25 at 2.04, Chelsea -0.25 at 1.85.

The goal line opened at 2.75 and hasn’t changed much.

With Both Teams in great goal scoring from and conceding goals too we have to look at goals, Both Teams to Score is far too low at 1.60. Over 2.75 at 1.88 offers a little value, as it should be closer to 1.85.