17th placed Aston Villa welcome 13th placed Newcastle to Villa Park on Monday night to wrap up this weekend’s Premier League action. Villa aren’t doing too badly at home of late, they’ve only lost one of their last five in the league (to Liverpool) while Newcastle have won two and lost three of their last five on their travels. Can Villa make home advantage count here or can the Magpies again overcome a home favourite? Read on to find out our value pick for this Premier League match.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Betting Tips and Predictions: Villa

Villa’s overall form in the league hasn’t been good of late, they’re are consistently inconsistent at best and while they can certainly play some fantastic, open, attacking football on their day, they’re finding those days hard to come by since returning to the Premier League.

But that’s what happens in the top tiers of football, you sink or swim and Villa need to turn the tide if they’re going to survive in their first season back in the top flight. Villa have won two, drawn two and lost two of their six home PL matches this season. They’re averaging 1.33 goals at home in the league and conceding 1.17.

In team news, Bjorn Engels, Matthew Targett and Tom Heaton should return to the starting XI. Jack Grealish is back training so could also make his return here.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Betting Tips and Predictions: Newcastle

Newcastle’s overall league form has been good of late, they’ve lost just one of their last five, a 1-0 away loss to Chelsea, their away form though is somewhat problematic. They’ve won two away matches this season, against Spurs and West Ham. They’ve lost to Liverpool, Leicester, Chelsea and Norwich. Beating Spurs and West Ham away doesn’t exactly mean they’re world beaters, both teams are in pretty bad shape of late so it’s more a case of them being bad rather than Newcaslte being good on the road.

As said, they’ve won just two on the road this season and have lost the other four of their away PL matches, they’ve averaged 1.0 goal per match away from St James’ Park and have conceded 2.33 goals on average.

In team news, midfielder Sean Longstaff is suspended, defender Fabian Schar may return and Matt Ritchie could feature too, both will face late fitness tests.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Betting Tips and Predictions: Stats

Of Villa’s five most recent matches, they’ve won two and lost three. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 5/5, while BTTS has landed in 4/5.

Of Newcastle’s five most previous matches, they’ve won three, drawn one and lost one. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 2/5, BTTS has landed in 3/5.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Betting Tips and Predictions: Tips and Predictions

The Asian Handicap line opened at 0.25, the price has moved a little. Villa -0.25 opened at 1.80, it’s now at 1.84, Newcastle +0.25 opened at 2.11, it’s now at 2.05. If you’d like to learn more about Asian Handicap betting, click here.

The Asian goal line opened at 2.5 and there’s been very little change. If you’d like to learn more about betting on Asian Goal lines, click here.

Over 2.5 is tempting but it’s just not been happening enough in Newcastle matches for us here and as you can see at the top there’s no value in it. There’s some early value on Villa though so get on Villa to Win at 2.16 because as it gets closer to kickoff it’ll likely be far closer to 2.0.