Betting tips & predictions

Newcastle vs Arsenal Betting Tips and Predictions

28th April 2021

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Barring a complete disaster Newcastle should have done enough to avoid relegation by now. Then again, it’s Newcastle, anything can happen. They’re like Forrest Gump’s box of chocolates but with a manager who doesn’t have so many great turns of phrases. Anyway, they should be safe by now but another win would put some further distance between them and Fulham two places below them. Arsenal were in action on Thursday night in their Europa League semi final against Villarreal, the match ended 2-1 to Villarreal and really this match comes as a bit of a distraction as Arsenal’s only chance of European football next season hinges on them going all the way in the competition. Let’s have a look then if we can find some value bets.

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Newcastle vs Arsenal Betting Tips and Predictions

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After flirting dangerously with the relegation zone for much of the season Newcastle United look to have done enough to avoid playing Championship football next season. They’ve been pretty decent of late too, winning two, drawing two and losing one of their last five Premier League matches. Arsenal’s record is a bit worse, they’ve only won one of their last five in the PL, drawing two and losing two. There’s some Blue Value Indicators as you can see from our Bet Dynamo Insights Page, let’s have a deeper look into the stats.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Betting Tips and Predictions

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Looking at Over/Under 2.5 goals we can see there’s an implied probability of 62% meaning we might have a Lay opportunity here. Laying is the same as backing against something. So, basically, backing Under 2.5 goals instead of Over 2.5 goals.

A fair amount of home Newcastle games have seen Overs landing, 69%, however Arsenal’s record is dragging down the probability here, as Overs has only been witnessed in 56% of their away matches. Match this with both teams only scoring Over 1.5 goals individually in 37.50% of their home/away matches and we might struggle to see goals here. We need to add Arsenal’s tired legs into the equation after their Europa League match on Thursday night into the equitation as well. Also, over their eight most recent meetings at St James’ Park only three have seen Over 2.5 goals. We’d be tempted here to back Under 2.5 goals and cashout as time ticks towards halftime.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Betting Tips and Predictions

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Neither team have great stats for being in the lead at halftime and out of the five most previous encounters between the sides played at St James’ Park four of them were level at halftime. Three were 0-0, one was 1-1. You can back the halftime draw for as high as 2.33 with some bookmakers and that represents some great value.

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