Betting tips & predictions

Napoli vs Inter Betting Tips and Predictions

15th April 2021

Previews

Fifth placed Napoli welcome Serie A leaders Inter to the Diego Maradona Stadium on Sunday night for their Matchday 31 encounter. Both teams are in good form, Napoli have won seven of their last nine matches, drawing and losing one apiece while Inter have won all nine of their most previous fixtures. There’s very little chance of Inter losing their grip on the league title from here until the end of the season but that’s not going to stop Napoli having a go at one of their fiercest rivals. Let’s go into the stats and see if we can find some value bets.

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Napoli vs Inter Betting Tips and Predictions

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At first glance there’s a couple of healthy-looking value Blue stats on our Bet Dynamo Insights Page. As we dig further we’ll see even more largely thanks to both teams being on a good run and hitting the back of the net a good bit of late. The stats look good for goals here.

Inter have beaten Napoli in three of their last five meetings in all competitions with Napoli winning one and one ending in a draw. Looking at just matches where Napoli were the home team though we can see that Napoli have held the upper hand, just. Napoli have beaten Inter in two of their last five visits to the south of the country, two have ended level and Inter have won one.

Napoli vs Inter Betting Tips and Predictions

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We can see from the first image that there’s some value to be had in the Over 1.5 goals market but not in the Over 2.5 goals. At the moment the implied probability stands at 62% meaning we’d expect the odds to be around 1.61 and the bookies odds are around 1.91 at the time of writing. Why isn’t it Blue then? Well, the Insights will only turn Blue when the implied probability hits 70%. Does this mean we shouldn’t bet on Overs though?

Over 2.5 goals has only been seen in two of Napoli’s five most recent home Serie A matches. Overs occurred in three of Inter’s five most recent away league matches. In head to head matches played in Napoli, three of the five most recent saw Overs landing. If we just look at Serie A matches between the sides played there then we see that four of the last five Serie A encounters saw Over 2.5 goals occurring.

It’s tempting but we’d wait until closer to kickoff before backing Overs here as we’d like to know how their closest league rivals, AC Milan get on in their match against Genoa earlier in the day.

Napoli vs Inter Betting Tips and Predictions

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On first look Both Teams to Score doesn’t look like much value but when we compare these stats we can get a second interpretation. Napoli have scored in all of their home Serie A matches except for 7%. It’s around the same for Inter regarding their away fixtures. We can see that BTTS landed in all three of their most recent meetings in Napoli as well. Again it depends on what happened earlier in the day but it’s a bet that might be worth looking at.

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