Zinedine Zidane’s Real Madrid welcome Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City to the Bernabeu on Wednesday night for the first leg of their Champions League Last 16 clash. The home side have won just two of their last five but have only lost one of their last 15 home matches. City, meanwhile, have won four of their last five on the road, City to Win is priced at 2.35.

Real Madrid vs Man City Betting Tips and Predictions: Real

Real Madrid are having a bad season, so we’re told anyway. Even though they’ve won the Spanish Super Cup, are second in La Liga and could also still win the Champions League. Imagine thinking that was a bad season.

Anyway, Madrid’s home form isn’t exactly wonderful of late, two wins, two draws (winning one on penalties) and one loss. Prior to those five though they had gone 10 matches unbeaten at the Bernabeu. And even though Real Madrid to Win at 2.95 sees them as the underdog they won’t mind having that label for this match. Over the last year, Madrid have only been the underdog on two occasions, both times against Barcelona, they lost on both occasions. However, they’ll know that Manchester City’s manager Pep Guardiola has a terrible record at this stage of the competition so they’ll be more than confident of winning the first round of the tie here.

Real Madrid vs Man City Betting Tips and Predictions: Man City

Let’s start with that awful stat; Pep Guardiola, in his managerial career, has had 28 away matches in the knockout states of the Champions League. He has won seven. For a manager of his calibre, of his talent, of his warranted genius it’s a little hard to believe. He’s more than happy to throw players forward when playing at home, force the away side into mistakes under pressure in their own half. However, when playing away he becomes conservative which has lead to failure time and time again. With City’s looming UEFA ban starting once this campaign is over City having nothing to lose, but will Pep go for it?

Real Madrid vs Man City Betting Tips and Predictions: Stats

Over Real’s five most recent home matches, they’ve won two, drawn two (winning one on penalties) and lost one. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 3/5, while BTTS has landed in 3/5.

Over City’s five most previous away matches, they’ve won four and lost one. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2/5, while BTTS has occurred in 2/5.

Real Madrid vs Man City Betting Tips and Predictions: Goalscorers

Sergio Aguero at 2.20 is favourite to Score at Anytime here. The Argentine hasn’t scored in a 0-1 win away to Sheffield United a month ago. He’s played against Real 14 times, scoring four goals, three of which were from his time at Atletico Madrid.