Seventh placed Fulham welcome tenth placed QPR to Craven Cottage on Friday night to get this weekend’s Championship action off to a start. It’s becoming incredibly tight at the top of the Championship, only nine points separate first and tenth and both teams can leap into the playoff places with a win here. There’s obviously a long way to go but putting a few wins together and getting some momentum in the sails can take a team far. We’re crunched the stats and found a value pick, read on to find out what we’re backing.

Fulham vs QPR Betting Tips and Predictions: Fulham

Fulham’s overall form of late hasn’t been mighty, they’ve won two, drawn one and lost two. The Cottagers at Craven Cottage at home are in better shape though, they’ve won two, drawn two and lost one and have scored a total of eight over those five matches. Surprisingly, Fulham and QPR have only met 27 times over the years with Fulham winning 12 and QPR winning 9. At Craven Cottage though, they’ve met 14 times, Fulham have won eight, QPR have won four and two have ended in draws.

Fulham have a pretty decent scoring record at home in the league, they’re averaging 1.88 goals per match this season and are conceding 1.25 goals per match. Of their eight matches at home, they’ve won four, drawn two and lost two.

In team news, Fulham will be missing their star man, Aleksandar Mitrovic, who will have to sit out this match thanks to accumulating five yellow cards already this season. Bobby Reid is likely to take Mitrovic’s role spearheading the attack, the young player has impressed in Scott Parker’s side this season, however, he’s yet to score for Fulham in the league.

Fulham vs QPR Betting Tips and Predictions: QPR

QPR’s form of late hasn’t been great, they’ve won one, drawn two and lost two. Away from Loftus Road though, Rangers have won three and lost two and have been quite good on their travels this season.

Mark Warburton’s side have been averaging 1.29 goals scored per match away from home and conceding 1.71, it’s one of the highest goals scored ratios on the road in the Championship this season. They’ve won four out of seven of their away league fixtures this season, losing the other three.

In team new defender Geoff Cameron is also suspended thanks to picking up too many bookings. Defender Yoann Barbet is a doubt but could return.

Fulham vs QPR Betting Tips and Predictions: Stats

Of Fulham’s five most recent league matches, they’ve won two, drawn one and lost two. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 2/5, while BTTS has landed in just 1/5.

Of QPR’s five most previous league matches, they’ve won one, drawn two and lost two. Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 4/5, BTTS has also landed in 4/5.

Fulham vs QPR Betting Tips and Predictions: Predictions and Tips

The Asian Handicap line opened at 0.75 and there’s been plenty of movement. It opened at Fulham -0.75 at 1.87, it’s now at 2.04. QPR -0.75 opened at 2.05, it’s now at 1.88.

The goal line opened at 3 and there’s been little price movement.

Normally we’d back Fulham here, but with Mitrovic being suspended Fulham might struggle to score more than a QPR who are decent on the road. It’s a high goal line for a match where the main goal scoring threat is suspended. As you can see from the Bet Dynamo Insights above there’s absolutely now value on Over 2.5, so let’s go with the line here and back Under 3 goals at 1.87.