Betting tips & predictions

Betting on the Premier League

24th January 2019

Articles

Go and land on the front page of any leading bookmaker and you will find options for betting on the Premier League front and centre. Thanks to online betting, punters have these options at their fingertips any time, day or night.

It doesn’t matter if you are looking at a match a fortnight in advance, or whether you are jumping into the live in-play betting action on a game that’s already kicked off, betting options come in many shapes and sizes and styles and of course, value.

It’s worth taking a moment to look at some of the popular areas on which punters do their betting on the Premier League.

What to watch for

The key to getting started with Premier League betting is basically keeping it simple. Start with a simple match outright bet, i.e. the classic home win, draw or away choice. There are of course plenty of other betting options available on any Premier League match, such as correct score, goalscorer markets and the bread-and-butter staple of over-under goal lines.

But is it really worth digging around and going too far down the rabbit’s hole if your time and experience are limited? Go look at any Premier League game and you’ll generally find at least 70 markets available for that one game. A fair deal of those niche markets are best served only for stats research and future experience.

What to avoid

Betting on the Premier League means using your head. The last thing you need to do is get caught up in an emotion of a sporting event, and then throwing money at a hindsight-howler. The thing is with betting, even if you look at an underdog you will find some reason to back them to go and defy their underdog odds if you want to.

If you look hard enough you will find something to justify whatever rationale is going on in your head. Then that leads to stakes on risky big-odds selections. Remember underdogs are underdogs for a reason, and while they do have their day, that day doesn’t come often enough.

Bankroll, bankroll, bankroll

Have we mentioned bankroll yet? Yes, bankroll. Bankroll. Going into any betting situation there is a golden rule that can protect your wallet. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. You need a bankroll and you need to manage the bankroll, no matter how small it is. Stick to your budget so you don’t get swept up in a betting frenzy and find yourself wondering how you suddenly lost £100 when you only had £10 to play with.

Digging the underdog

You will come across occasions where the favourite is just not worth backing because they are such a terrible price. A 1/10 favourite is not worth anyone’s time. But in that scenario there wouldn’t be good value on the underdog either. But you can still go out and find underdog value in Premier League betting markets elsewhere other than in the outright market.

If you do find yourself with a reasonable yearning to bet on a Premier League underdog, you can perhaps back them in a Win - Draw Double Chance wager for example. An Asian handicap on the underdog to not lose by say more than a one-goal margin, or even backing them to just score in the game regardless of the outcome through the Match Result & Both Teams To Score market offer alternatives.

These are kind of popular alternatives to just dropping on the match outright. The beauty of them is that they are still simple options. The best kinds of alternative bets for a Premier League match are the ones with limited outcomes.

For example the correct score market on a match is a minefield. It’s a money pit. Even the lowest scoring team in the entire division can go out and somehow miraculously produce three goals in a game. It happens. Markets like the correct score market and goalscorer markets with their chunky prices, just have so many options and are high risk.

Now if you put that up against a straight shot of the game-ending under 2.5 goals, things look clearer. Doing that could mean backing the underdogs to park the bus and not ship a hat full of goals. That is far more feasible as well as being a common outcome in Premier League games.

At the end of the day, avoid those Premier League betting markets which have a list of options as long as your arm. Stick with a simple market where there is simply a 50/50 outcome. Think of things like both teams to score yes or no, or a team to win to nil yes or no. They are often more valuable options to consider, because of the lower risk.

Over/Under 2.5 goals

Having mentioned the over/under 2.5 goals market above, it is one of the alternative markets that deserves a little more attention. It’s easy to spot trends in this market, such as a situation where 70% of a team’s home games have gone over 2.5 goals.

You can use our team stats to work out which sides could be a good bet on the over, or under 2.5 goals market.

Because the over/under goals market is a basic form of a 50/50 outcome you aren’t looking at major prices, but you are looking at relatively stable, low-risk ones. The half goal (the 0.5) is there to prevent a draw (a push) in the outcome, just like in handicapping. The standard is over/under 2.5 goals but this can be extended or trimmed say to over 3.5 goals or under 1.5 goals for fixtures.

The patient buildup

We’ve all been there, watching an EPL game and a team scores a goal after a patient build up. Apply that same kind of mentality to your betting. It’s all about not getting blinded by those big sparkly 14/1 odds options and keeping it more down-to-earth. It’s all about the patience to really assess the risk and reward of any Premier League bet that you’re about to play.

Keep in the know

Subscribe to our mailing list!